Global variable selection for quantile regression

Relatore: Eduardo Horta (Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil)

  • Data: 18 gennaio 2024 dalle 16:00 alle 17:00

  • Luogo: Aula III - Via Belle Arti, 41

Quantile regression provides a parsimonious model for the conditional quantile function of the response variable given the vector of covariates, describing the whole conditional distribution of the response, and yielding estimators that are robust to the presence of outliers in the data. Quantile regression models specify, for each quantile level u, the functional form for the conditional u-th quantile of the response. This brings complexity when performing variable selection through regularization techniques, such as LASSO or adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO), as we might obtain a different set of selected variables for each quantile level. In this work, we propose a method for global variable selection and coefficient estimation in the linear quantile regression framework, imposing mild restrictions on the functional form of the unknown functional parameter, and applying group adaLASSO penalization for variable selection. We set up a Monte Carlo study comparing six different proposed estimators based on LASSO, adaLASSO and group LASSO in six scenarios that diversify sample and quantile levels grid sizes. The findings demonstrate that the selection of the tuning parameter for penalization is critical for model selection and coefficient estimation. It was observed that the methods using traditional LASSO are more prone to include the true model as compared to adaLASSO, but renouncing model shrinkage and not removing irrelevant covariates, while the grouped approches are more effective in zeroing coefficients that are less relevant.

Sabrina Mulinacci